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Analyzing convolutional neural networks and linear regression models for wind speed forecasting in sustainable energy provision

Authors :
Maria Ashraf
Kiran Shaukat
Syed Sajjad Haider Zaidi
Bushra Raza
Farhana Ashraf
Source :
Mehran University Research Journal of Engineering and Technology, Vol 43, Iss 4, Pp 170-181 (2024)
Publication Year :
2024
Publisher :
Mehran University of Engineering and Technology, 2024.

Abstract

Wind energy's significance lies in its contribution to electricity production. Accurate wind speed prediction is crucial for precisely forecasting electricity generation, enhancing its overall importance. For the wind speed prediction two methods are developed in this paper that are the Linear Regression Method and Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs). Linear regression makes a linear relation between input and output which are used to predict continuous outcomes. The second proposed leverage hierarchical feature extraction through convolutional layers, enabling them to excel at tasks like pattern recognition by capturing spatial patterns and hierarchies of information. Hyperparameter tuning is applied on both the models to minimize the errors. Then both the model’s performances are compared under different error matrices including MAE, RMSE, MSE and MAPE. The observations indicate that both the Linear Regression Model and CNN models are capable of forecasting wind speed However, the Linear Regression Model after Hyperparameter tuning performs better in terms of the calculated errors.

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
02547821 and 24137219
Volume :
43
Issue :
4
Database :
Directory of Open Access Journals
Journal :
Mehran University Research Journal of Engineering and Technology
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
edsdoj.179459be2be946769a46e81311d41be4
Document Type :
article
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.22581/muet1982.3246