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Understanding COVID-19 propagation: a comprehensive mathematical model with Caputo fractional derivatives for Thailand

Authors :
Shamil E
Sayooj Aby Jose
Hasan S. Panigoro
Anuwat Jirawattanapanit
Benjamin I. Omede
Zakaria Yaagoub
Source :
Frontiers in Applied Mathematics and Statistics, Vol 10 (2024)
Publication Year :
2024
Publisher :
Frontiers Media S.A., 2024.

Abstract

This research introduces a sophisticated mathematical model for understanding the transmission dynamics of COVID-19, incorporating both integer and fractional derivatives. The model undergoes a rigorous analysis, examining equilibrium points, the reproduction number, and feasibility. The application of fixed point theory establishes the existence of a unique solution, demonstrating stability in the model. To derive approximate solutions, the generalized Adams-Bashforth-Moulton method is employed, further enhancing the study's analytical depth. Through a numerical simulation based on Thailand's data, the research delves into the intricacies of COVID-19 transmission, encompassing thorough data analysis and parameter estimation. The study advocates for a holistic approach, recommending a combined strategy of precautionary measures and home remedies, showcasing their substantial impact on pandemic mitigation. This comprehensive investigation significantly contributes to the broader understanding and effective management of the COVID-19 crisis, providing valuable insights for shaping public health strategies and guiding individual actions.

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
22974687
Volume :
10
Database :
Directory of Open Access Journals
Journal :
Frontiers in Applied Mathematics and Statistics
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
edsdoj.147851d7cb54629991b343f2f91b7a7
Document Type :
article
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.3389/fams.2024.1374721