B7-1 and PlGF-1 are two possible new biomarkers to identify fracture-associated trauma patients at higher risk of developing complications: a cohort study

Abstract Background Around 10% of fractures lead to complications. With increasing fracture incidences in recent years, this poses a serious burden on the healthcare system, with increasing costs for treatment. In the present study, we aimed to identify potential ‘new’ blood markers to predict the development of post-surgical complications in trauma patients following a fracture. Methods A total of 292 trauma patients with a complete three-month follow-up were included in this cohort study. Blood samples were obtained from 244 of these patients. Two complication groups were distinguished based on the Clavien-Dindo (CD) classification: CD grade I and CD grade III groups were compared to the controls (CD 0). The Mann-Whitney U test was used to compare the complication groups to the control group. Results Analysis of the patients’ data revealed that risk factors are dependent on sex. Both, males and females who developed a CD III complication showed elevated blood levels of B7-1 (p = 0.015 and p = 0.018, respectively) and PlGF-1 (p = 0.009 and p = 0.031, respectively), with B7-1 demonstrating greater sensitivity (B7-1: 0.706 (male) and 0.692 (female), PlGF-1: 0.647 (male) and 0.615 (female)). Further analysis of the questionnaires and medical data revealed the importance of additional risk factors. For males (CD 0: 133; CD I: 12; CD III: 18 patients) alcohol consumption was significantly increased for CD I and CD III compared to control with p = 0.009 and p = 0.007, respectively. For females (CD 0: 107; CD I: 10; CD III: 12 patients) a significantly increased average BMI [kg/m2] from 25.5 to 29.7 with CD III was observed, as well as an elevation from one to three comorbidities (p = 0.003). Conclusions These two potential new blood markers hold promise for predicting complication development in trauma patients. Nevertheless, further studies are necessary to evaluate the diagnostic utility of B7-1 and PlGF-1 in predicting complications in trauma patients and consider sex differences before their possible use as routine clinical screening tools.