Development and Validation of Prognostic Model for Lung Adenocarcinoma Patients Based on m6A Methylation Related Transcriptomics

Existing studies suggest that m6A methylation is closely related to the prognosis of cancer. We developed three prognostic models based on m6A-related transcriptomics in lung adenocarcinoma patients and performed external validations. The TCGA-LUAD cohort served as the derivation cohort and six GEO data sets as external validation cohorts. The first model (mRNA model) was developed based on m6A-related mRNA. LASSO and stepwise regression were used to screen genes and the prognostic model was developed from multivariate Cox regression model. The second model (lncRNA model) was constructed based on m6A related lncRNAs. The four steps of random survival forest, LASSO, best subset selection and stepwise regression were used to screen genes and develop a Cox regression prognostic model. The third model combined the risk scores of the first two models with clinical variable. Variables were screened by stepwise regression. The mRNA model included 11 predictors. The internal validation C index was 0.736. The lncRNA model has 15 predictors. The internal validation C index was 0.707. The third model combined the risk scores of the first two models with tumor stage. The internal validation C index was 0.794. In validation sets, all C-indexes of models were about 0.6, and three models had good calibration accuracy. Freely online calculator on the web at https://lhj0520.shinyapps.io/LUAD_prediction_model/.