Análise exploratória dos fatores relacionados ao prognóstico em idosos com sepse grave e choque séptico Related prognostic factors in elderly patients with severe sepsis and septic shock

OBJETIVOS: O objetivo deste estudo foi avaliar variáveis relacionadas à mortalidade intra-hospitalar em 28 dias, de idosos com diagnóstico de sepse grave ou choque séptico em unidade de terapia intensiva clínica. MÉTODOS: Cento e cinqüenta e dois pacientes, com idade > 65 anos internados com sepse grave ou choque séptico foram acompanhados durante 28 dias e as variáveis foram coletadas nos dias 1, 3, 5, 7, 14 e 28 de internação. Para a comparação das variáveis categóricas, empregaram-se os testes Qui-quadrado e para as variáveis contínuas o teste de Mann-Whitney ou teste T, quando apropriado. Todos os testes foram bicaudais com erro alfa de 0,05. RESULTADOS: A média da idade foi de 82,0 �� 9,0 anos, com 64,5% de mulheres, sendo a mortalidade de 47,4%. Foram relacionados ao óbito: índice Acute Physiologic and Chronic Heatlh Evaluation II (p < 0,001), o Sequential Organ Failure Assessment nos dias 1, 3, 5, 7 (p < 0,001), o tempo de permanência na terapia intensiva (p < 0,001), o número de falências orgânicas (p < 0,001), o lactato elevado no terceiro dia (p = 0,05), troponina I positiva nos dias 1 e 3 (pOBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to evaluate variables related to intra hospital mortality at 28 days, of aged persons with severe sepsis and septic shock in a clinical ICU. METHODS: One hundred and fifty-two patients aged > 65 years with severe sepsis and septic shock were followed for 28 days and the variables were collected on days 1, 3, 5, 7, 14 and 28 of stay. To compare categorical variables the Chi-square test was used and the Mann-Whitney or t test for continuous variables. All tests were double-tailed, alpha error of 0.05. RESULTS: Mean age was 82.0 ± 9.0 years and 64.5% were female. Mortality was of 47.4%. Related to death were the following: Acute Physiological and Chronic Heath Evaluation II score (p < 0.001), Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score on days 1, 3, 5, 7 (p < 0.001), length of stay in intensive care (p < 0.001), number of organ failures (p < 0.001), high serum lactate on day 3 (p = 0.05), positive troponin I (p < 0.01), echocardiographic variables (systolic diameter p = 0.005; diastolic diameter p = 0.05; shortening fraction p = 0.02), previous renal disease (p = 0.03), shock (p < 0.001), mechanical ventilation (p < 0.001) and Lawton scale (p = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: Shock, elevated lactate, organ failure, especially respiratory were more prevalent in non-survivors. Heart dysfunction detected by echocardiographic variables and positive troponin I may play an important role in the mortality of aged patients with sepsis.