The association between testosterone, estradiol, estrogen sulfotransferase and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a bidirectional mendelian randomization study

Abstract Background The causal relationships between testosterone, estradiol, estrogen sulfotransferase, and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) are not well understood. This study employs a bidirectional two-sample Mendelian Randomization (MR) approach to explore these associations. Methods All genetic data utilized in our study were obtained from the IEU Open GWAS project. For the MR analysis, we employed the inverse variance weighted (IVW), MR-Egger, and weighted median methods to assess the causal relationships. We also conducted a multivariate MR (MVMR) analysis, with adjustments made for smoking. To ensure the robustness of our findings, sensitivity analyses were conducted using Cochran’s Q test, MR-Egger regression, the MR-PRESSO global test, and the leave-one-out method. Results Genetically predicted increases in serum testosterone levels by one standard deviation were associated with a 58.7% decrease in the risk of developing IPF (OR = 0.413, PIVW=0.029, 95% CI = 0.187 ∼ 0.912), while an increase in serum estrogen sulfotransferase by one standard deviation was associated with a 32.4% increase in risk (OR = 1.324, PIVW=0.006, 95% CI = 1.083 ∼ 1.618). No causal relationship was found between estradiol (OR = 1.094, PIVW=0.735, 95% CI = 0.650 ∼ 1.841) and the risk of IPF. Reverse MR analysis did not reveal any causal relationship between IPF and testosterone (OR = 1.001, PIVW=0.51, 95% CI = 0.998 ∼ 1.004), estradiol (OR = 1.001, PIVW=0.958, 95% CI = 0.982 ∼ 1.019), or estrogen sulfotransferase (OR = 0.975, PIVW=0.251, 95% CI = 0.933 ∼ 1.018). The MVMR analysis demonstrated that the association between testosterone (OR = 0.442, P = 0.037, 95% CI = 0.205 ∼ 0.953) and estrogen sulfotransferase (OR = 1.314, P = 0.001, 95% CI = 1.118 ∼ 1.545) and the risk of IPF persisted even after adjusting for smoking. Conclusions Increased serum levels of testosterone are associated with a reduced risk of IPF, while increased levels of serum estrogen sulfotransferase are associated with an increased risk. No causal relationship was found between estradiol and the development of IPF. No causal relationship was identified between IPF and testosterone, estradiol, or estrogen sulfotransferase.