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Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on National Vulnerability Based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation

Authors :
Jia-Ming Zhu
Yang Chen
Su Zhang
Source :
Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, Vol 2020 (2020)
Publication Year :
2020
Publisher :
Hindawi Limited, 2020.

Abstract

Climate change has become one of the major threats to global security. On the impact of climate change on national vulnerability, the researchers firstly select relevant factors and data and analyze the principal components to determine the weight of climate change on vulnerability so as to analyze the impact of climate change on national vulnerability. Secondly, based on the influencing factors, we obtain the national vulnerability score through the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, delineate the impact scope according to the score, and predict climate change by means of regression analysis and time series analysis. Finally, according to the characteristics of cities and continents, the model is revised, a PSR model and a cluster analysis model are established, and the prediction accuracy is improved.

Subjects

Subjects :
Mathematics
QA1-939

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
10260226 and 1607887X
Volume :
2020
Database :
Directory of Open Access Journals
Journal :
Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
edsdoj.02decb4ec7a4fee80261bcc09266d63
Document Type :
article
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1155/2020/3527540