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A fractional Hawkes process II: Further characterization of the process

Authors :
Habyarimana, Cassien
Aduda, Jane A.
Scalas, Enrico
Chen, Jing
Hawkes, Alan G.
Polito, Federico
Publication Year :
2022

Abstract

We characterize a Hawkes point process with kernel proportional to the probability density function of Mittag-Leffler random variables. This kernel decays as a power law with exponent $\beta +1 \in (1,2]$. Several analytical results can be proved, in particular for the expected intensity of the point process and for the expected number of events of the counting process. These analytical results are used to validate algorithms that numerically invert the Laplace transform of the expected intensity as well as Monte Carlo simulations of the process. Finally, Monte Carlo simulations are used to derive the full distribution of the number of events. The algorithms used for this paper are available at {\tt https://github.com/habyarimanacassien/Fractional-Hawkes}.<br />Comment: 19 pages, 6 figures. This version includes the exact inversion of a Laplace transform that we previously inverted only numerically

Details

Database :
arXiv
Publication Type :
Report
Accession number :
edsarx.2211.02583
Document Type :
Working Paper
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2023.128596