Rate of formation of caustics in heavy particles advected by turbulence

The rate of collision and the relative velocities of the colliding particles in turbulent flows is a crucial part of several natural phenomena, e.g., rain formation in warm clouds and planetesimal formation in a protoplanetary disks. The particles are often modeled as passive, but heavy and inertial. Within this model, large relative velocities emerge due to formation of singularities (caustics) of in the gradient matrix of the velocities of the particles. Using extensive direct numerical simulations of heavy particles in both two (direct and inverse cascade) and three dimensional turbulent flows we calculate the rate of formation of caustics, $J$ as a function of the Stokes number (${\rm St}$).The best approximation to our data is $J \sim \exp(-C/{\rm St})$, in the limit ${\rm St} \to 0 $ where $C$ is a non-universal constant.
Comment: Consistent with the version accepted for publication in Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A