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Understanding causation via correlations and linear response theory

Authors :
Baldovin, Marco
Cecconi, Fabio
Vulpiani, Angelo
Source :
Phys. Rev. Research 2, 043436 (2020)
Publication Year :
2020

Abstract

In spite of the (correct) common-wisdom statement correlation does not imply causation, a proper employ of time correlations and of fluctuation-response theory allows to understand the causal relations between the variables of a multi-dimensional linear Markov process. It is shown that the fluctuation-response formalism can be used both to find the direct causal links between the variables of a system and to introduce a degree of causation, cumulative in time, whose physical interpretation is straightforward. Although for generic non-linear dynamics there is no simple exact relationship between correlations and response functions, the described protocol can still give a useful proxy also in presence of weak nonlinear terms.

Details

Database :
arXiv
Journal :
Phys. Rev. Research 2, 043436 (2020)
Publication Type :
Report
Accession number :
edsarx.2010.01522
Document Type :
Working Paper
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevResearch.2.043436