Upper tail bounds for Stars

For r \ge 2, let X be the number of r-armed stars K_{1,r} in the binomial random graph G_{n,p}. We study the upper tail \Pr(X \ge (1+\epsilon)\E X), and establish exponential bounds which are best possible up to constant factors in the exponent (for the special case of stars K_{1,r} this solves a problem of Janson and Rucinski, and confirms a conjecture by DeMarco and Kahn). In contrast to the widely accepted standard for the upper tail problem, we do not restrict our attention to constant \epsilon, but also allow for \epsilon \ge n^{-\alpha} deviations.
Comment: 14 pages