Modelování časových řad výroby a spotřeby elektrické energie v ČR

Modeling of time series of production and consumption of electricity in the Czech Republic. Bachelor thesis. Brno: Mendel University, 2015. This bachelor thesis describes the energy market in the Czech Republic. It presents the breakdown into different sources of electric energy production and the basic principle of trading in electricity. One-dimensional time series models, created in the statistical program Gretl, were used for data processing of the production and consumption of electric energy between 2002 and 2014, and the import and export of electric energy in the years 2006 - 2014 in the Czech Republic. The chosen method was the decomposition of the time series focusing on working with systematic component of a series, that consists of trend, seasonal and cyclical component. Based on the description of the data evolution, a two year prediction was created and evaluated using chosen statistical criteria.