Researching and forecasting aggregated consumers’ perception of imported food: Russia and Brazil case studies (1992–2020)

The research contains the estimation of Revealed Comparative Advantage indices for food exporters and structural shifts in the global composition of food trade. The finding about the income elasticity of consumption for imported food has been done on the basis of AIDS and QAIDS models. At the final stage of the paper the authors implement the combined forecast of the share of expenditures on imported food in total expenditures on food and the income elasticity of imported food consumption in Russia and Brazil till 2020. The key implication is that food (both imported and produced domestically) is a second need good.