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WRF Parameterizations of Short-Term Solar Radiation Forecasts for Cold Fronts in Central and Eastern Europe

Authors :
Araszkiewicz, Michał Mierzwiak
Krzysztof Kroszczyński
Andrzej
Source :
Energies; Volume 16; Issue 13; Pages: 5136
Publication Year :
2023
Publisher :
Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute, 2023.

Abstract

The solar power industry is a rapidly growing sector of renewable energy, and it is crucial that the available energy is accurately forecast. Using numerical weather prediction models, we can forecast the global horizontal irradiance on which the amount of energy produced by photovoltaic systems depends. This study presents the forecast effects for one of the most challenging weather conditions in modelling, occurring in central and eastern Europe. The dates of the synoptic situations were selected from 2021 and 2022. Simulations were carried out for 18 days with a cold front and, in order to verify the model configuration, for 2 days with a warm front, 2 days with an occlusion front and 2 days with a high pressure situation. Overall, 24 forecasts were made for each of the three parameterizations of the Weather Research and Forecasting model. The data were compared with the values measured in situ at the station performing the actinometric measurements belonging to Germany’s National Meteorological Service. This paper presents the spatial distribution of the global horizontal irradiance parameters for several terms to explain the differences between the results of the different simulations.

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
19961073
Database :
OpenAIRE
Journal :
Energies; Volume 16; Issue 13; Pages: 5136
Accession number :
edsair.multidiscipl..f44772b58745a5d002c5655e8ad1cd89
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.3390/en16135136