地域CO2削減策の統合影響評価モデルと地域特性に関する考察

This paper analyzed the effects of the local climate policies with "3E (Economy-Energy-Environment) model". This model is to analyze the effects to the local economies, energy demands, and CO2 emissions by introducing the policies for anti-global warming in the local area. The 3E model of Tokai region (Aichi, Gifu, and Mie Prefecture) of this paper called to "the Simulation Model of the Local Climate Policies and the Economic Effects" consists of the local macro econometric model, the local input-output model, and the local energy demand-supply model. The simulations in this paper are as follows; (1) constructing macro-econometric model, IO model, and energy demand-supply model, (2) estimating BAU values of macro-economic indices, forecast IO table, and energy demands and CO2 emission in each prefecture, (3) Creating the CO2 reduction policy package in each prefecture, and (4) estimating the forecast values of regional macro-economic indices, forecast IO, and energy demand and CO2 emission. As the results, introducing the CO2 reduction policies pushed up 0.2-0.7% of GRP, and created 1,000-4,000 employments per year. Furthermore, the simulations with the forecast IO tables showed that the climate policies with the local resources such as CHP and biomass had more spillover effect on local economy.
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KJ00010081579
論文