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Strong earthquakes can be predicted: a multidisciplinary method for strong earthquake prediction
- Source :
- Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Vol 3, Iss 6, Pp 703-712 (2003), Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Copernicus Publ. / European Geosciences Union, 2003, 3 (6), pp.703-712
- Publication Year :
- 2003
- Publisher :
- HAL CCSD, 2003.
-
Abstract
- The imminent prediction on a group of strong earthquakes that occurred in Xinjiang, China in April 1997 is introduced in detail. The prediction was made on the basis of comprehensive analyses on the results obtained by multiple innovative methods including measurements of crustal stress, observation of infrasonic wave in an ultra low frequency range, and recording of abnormal behavior of certain animals. Other successful examples of prediction are also enumerated. The statistics shows that above 40% of 20 total predictions jointly presented by J. Z. Li, Z. Q. Ren and others since 1995 can be regarded as effective. With the above methods, precursors of almost every strong earthquake around the world that occurred in recent years were recorded in our laboratory. However, the physical mechanisms of the observed precursors are yet impossible to explain at this stage.
- Subjects :
- 010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences
Earthquake prediction
[SDU.STU]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences
010502 geochemistry & geophysics
01 natural sciences
lcsh:TD1-1066
Multidisciplinary approach
Range (statistics)
lcsh:Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
[SDU.ENVI]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Continental interfaces, environment
Ultra low frequency
lcsh:Environmental sciences
0105 earth and related environmental sciences
[SDU.OCEAN]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Ocean, Atmosphere
lcsh:GE1-350
[SDU.OCEAN] Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Ocean, Atmosphere
lcsh:QE1-996.5
lcsh:Geography. Anthropology. Recreation
Crustal stress
[SDU.ENVI] Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Continental interfaces, environment
lcsh:Geology
lcsh:G
13. Climate action
[SDU.STU] Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences
General Earth and Planetary Sciences
Seismology
Geology
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 16849981 and 15618633
- Database :
- OpenAIRE
- Journal :
- Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Vol 3, Iss 6, Pp 703-712 (2003), Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Copernicus Publ. / European Geosciences Union, 2003, 3 (6), pp.703-712
- Accession number :
- edsair.doi.dedup.....ffe705c6e16d5ec5e5c01aef4302355b