Prognostic value and cost benefit of HPV testing for oropharyngeal cancer patients

Objectives High-risk human papillomavirus (HR-HPV) can cause oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OpSCC). The revised 8th edition of the AJCC Staging Manual now stages OpSCC by incorporating p16 immunohistochemistry (IHC), the surrogate marker for HPV status. This study assessed the prognostic values of p16 and HPV markers. Methods We identified 244 OpSCC patients diagnosed between 2000-2008 from the British Columbia Cancer Registry with enough tissue to conduct experiments. Formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded tissue sections were stained for p16 IHC, RNA in situ hybridization (ISH) HPV 16 and 18, and DNA ISH HR-HPV. Electronic charts were reviewed to collect clinical and outcome data. Combined positive RNA and/or DNA ISH was used to denote HPV status. Results HPV was positive among 77.9% of samples. Using HPV as the benchmark, p16 IHC had high sensitivity (90.5%), but low specificity (68.5%). Distinct subgroups of patients were identified by sequential separation of p16 then HPV status. Among both p16-positive and p16-negative groups, HPV-positive patients were younger, more males, and had better clinical outcomes, especially 5-year overall survival. We further evaluated the technical costs associated with HPV testing. Conclusion HPV is more prognostic than p16 for OpSCC. Clinical laboratories can adopt HPV RNA ISH for routine analysis.