Early Predictive Factors of Visual Loss at 1 Year in Neovascular Age-Related Macular Degeneration under Anti–Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor

Purpose To evaluate early predictive factors of visual loss in patients treated with anti–vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) injections under an as-needed regimen for neovascular age-related macular degeneration (AMD). Design Post hoc analysis from the randomized controlled trial Groupe d’Evaluation Francais Avastin versus Lucentis (GEFAL). Participants A total of 393 patients with neovascular AMD. Methods The present analysis is based on 1-year data from patients included in the study. Patients were separately categorized according to the best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) change at 3 months and 1 year into 3 trajectories: (1) patients with no vision loss ≥5 letters at 3 months and 1 year (absence of loss ≥5 letters); (2) patients with no vision loss ≥5 letters at 3 months but loss ≥5 letters at 1 year (secondary loss ≥5 letters); and (3) patients with vision loss ≥5 letters at 3 months and 1 year (initial loss ≥5 letters). Main Outcome Measures The following factors were evaluated at baseline and 3 months: age, sex, BCVA, presence of fluid, central macular thickness, angiographic choroidal neovascularization (CNV) subtype, CNV area measured in disc area on fluorescein angiography, and number of intravitreal injections. Results An absence of loss ≥5 letters was found in 225 patients (57.3%), a secondary loss ≥5 letters after 3 months was found in 109 patients (27.7%), and an initial loss ≥5 letters was found in 59 patients (15%). Baseline characteristics were comparable among the 3 groups except for the total CNV area, which was larger in the initial and secondary loss groups (P = 0.0412). At 3 months, a significant association was found between presence of subretinal fluid (SRF) (P = 0.0318) and vision loss ≥5 letters, and an even stronger significant association between the presence of intraretinal fluid (IRF) (P = 0.0066) and vision loss ≥5 letters. Conclusions In the present study, we found that a large CNV area at baseline was significantly associated with initial or secondary loss of visual acuity ≥5 letters despite anti-VEGF injection. The presence of fluid, both SRF and IRF, at 3 months was found in patients with poorer trajectories.