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Eliciting ambiguity aversion in unknown and in compound lotteries: a smooth ambiguity model experimental study

Authors :
Christian Gollier
Noémie Pace
Giuseppe Attanasi
Aldo Montesano
Bureau d'Économie Théorique et Appliquée (BETA)
Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Université de Strasbourg (UNISTRA)-Université de Lorraine (UL)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
Groupe de recherche en économie mathématique et quantitative (GREMAQ)
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-École des hautes études en sciences sociales (EHESS)-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Université Toulouse 1 Capitole (UT1)
Bocconi University
Bocconi University [Milan, Italy]
University of Ca’ Foscari [Venice, Italy]
Université Fédérale Toulouse Midi-Pyrénées-Université Fédérale Toulouse Midi-Pyrénées
Source :
Theory and Decision, Theory and Decision, Springer Verlag, 2014, 77 (4), pp.485-530. ⟨10.1007/s11238-013-9406-z⟩
Publication Year :
2014
Publisher :
HAL CCSD, 2014.

Abstract

Coherent-ambiguity aversion is defined within the (Klibanoff et al., Econometrica 73:1849–1892, 2005) smooth-ambiguity model (henceforth KMM) as the combination of choice-ambiguity and value-ambiguity aversion. Five ambiguous decision tasks are analyzed theoretically, where an individual faces two-stage lotteries with binomial, uniform, or unknown second-order probabilities. Theoretical predictions are then tested through a 10-task experiment. In (unambiguous) tasks 1–5, risk aversion is elicited through both a portfolio choice method and a BDM mechanism. In (ambiguous) tasks 6–10, choice-ambiguity aversion is elicited through the portfolio choice method, while value-ambiguity aversion comes about through the BDM mechanism. The behavior of over 75 % of classified subjects is in line with the KMM model in all tasks 6–10, independent of their degree of risk aversion. Furthermore, the percentage of coherent-ambiguity-averse subjects is lower in the binomial than in the uniform and in the unknown treatments, with only the latter difference being significant. The most part of coherent-ambiguity-loving subjects show a high risk aversion.

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
00405833 and 15737187
Database :
OpenAIRE
Journal :
Theory and Decision, Theory and Decision, Springer Verlag, 2014, 77 (4), pp.485-530. ⟨10.1007/s11238-013-9406-z⟩
Accession number :
edsair.doi.dedup.....e3291412f1e9682f4fd4c61a63c8ae23