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Erratum for the Report: 'Estimating the burden of SARS-CoV-2 in France,' by H. Salje, C. Tran Kiem, N. Lefrancq, N. Courtejoie, P. Bosetti, J. Paireau, A. Andronico, N. Hozé, J. Richet, C.-L. Dubost, Y. Le Strat, J. Lessler, D. Levy-Bruhl, A. Fontanet, L. Opatowski, P.-Y. Boelle, S. Cauchemez

Authors :
Alessio Andronico
Lulla Opatowski
Juliette Paireau
Jehanne Richet
Daniel Lévy-Bruhl
Paolo Bosetti
Pierre-Yves Boëlle
Claire-Lise Dubost
Noémie Courtejoie
Y. Le Strat
Arnaud Fontanet
Tran Kiem
Noémie Lefrancq
Nathanaël Hozé
Simon Cauchemez
Justin Lessler
Source :
Science (New York, N.y.)
Publication Year :
2020
Publisher :
American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS), 2020.

Abstract

France has been heavily affected by the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic and went into lockdown on the 17 March 2020. Using models applied to hospital and death data, we estimate the impact of the lockdown and current population immunity. We find 3.6% of infected individuals are hospitalized and 0.7% die, ranging from 0.001% in those 80ya. Across all ages, men are more likely to be hospitalized, enter intensive care, and die than women. The lockdown reduced the reproductive number from 2.90 to 0.67 (77% reduction). By 11 May 2020, when interventions are scheduled to be eased, we project 2.8 million (range: 1.8–4.7) people, or 4.4% (range: 2.8–7.2) of the population, will have been infected. Population immunity appears insufficient to avoid a second wave if all control measures are released at the end of the lockdown.

Details

ISSN :
10959203 and 00368075
Volume :
368
Database :
OpenAIRE
Journal :
Science
Accession number :
edsair.doi.dedup.....e2dc86289aa7fa0a71d482305b4f2557
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abd4246