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Short Term Load Forecasting for Turkey Energy Distribution System with Artificial Neural Networks

Authors :
Fatih Taşpınar
Ali Öztürk
Salih Tosun
Source :
Tehnički Vjesnik, Vol 26, Iss 6, Pp 1545-1553 (2019), Tehnički vjesnik, Volume 26, Issue 6
Publication Year :
2019
Publisher :
Faculty of Mechanical Engineering in Slavonski Brod, Faculty of Electrical Engineering in Osijek, Faculty of Civil Engineering in Osijek, 2019.

Abstract

WOS: 000499332300003 The constant increase in consumption of electricity has become one of the biggest problems today. The evaluation of energy resources has also made it worthwhile to consume it. In this respect, the transmission of electric energy and the operation of power systems have become important issues. As a result, reliable, high quality and affordable energy supply has become the most important task of operators. Realizing these elements can certainly be accomplished with good planning. One of the most important elements of this planning is undoubtedly consumption estimates. Therefore, knowing when consumers will consume energy is of great importance for operators as well as energy producers. Consumption estimates or, in other words, load estimates are also important in terms of the price balance that will occur in the market. In this study, the short-term load estimation of Duzce, Turkey is performed with Artificial Neural Networks (ANN). In the study, the April values were taken as reference and the estimates were obtained according to the input results of this month. As a result of this study, it is seen that the load consumption with nonlinear data can be successfully forecasted by ANN. Duzce UniversityDuzce University This study was carried out in cooperation with SEDAS and Duzce University within the scope of "Influence of Optimization Method on Uncertainty Costs of Profile Coefficients Methodology and Optimization Project" supported by EPDK on May 28.

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
18486339 and 13303651
Volume :
26
Issue :
6
Database :
OpenAIRE
Journal :
Tehnički Vjesnik
Accession number :
edsair.doi.dedup.....e20ebdbcfd789d340b0e783090276ff8