Prognostic indexes in breast cancer:comparison of the Nottingham and Adelaide indexes

The search for single independent prognostic factors in breast cancer has often produced conflicting results. Therefore, prognostic indexes have been compiled by combining several parameters. In this study we compare the Nottingham Prognostic Index (NPI), which is based on traditional prognostic factors (diameter of the neoplasm, lymph node status and histological grade) with the Adelaide Prognostic Index (API), which is based on the tumour diameter and two biological parameters: oestrogen receptors and cell kinetics. We considered 82 cases of breast cancer observed over the period 1987-1990 with a minimum follow-up of 60 months. The NPI gives a better definition of the prognostic profile for each patient. Our results indicate three prognostic groups (good, moderate, unfavourable), which differ with respect to disease-free survival (DFS; P=0.0024) and overall survival (OS; P=0.0033). In contrast, the API scores showed no significant correlation with OS or DFS. The use of prognostic indexes, especially when compiled using traditional parameters, is a useful aid to the clinician, since they can provide a reliable indication of how individual tumours will evolve.