Wildfire management in Mediterranean-type regions: paradigm change needed

During the last decades, climate and land use changes led to an increased prevalence of megafires in Mediterranean-type climate regions (MCRs). Here, we argue that current wildfire management policies in MCRs are destined to fail. Focused on fire suppression, these policies largely ignore ongoing climate warming and landscape-scale buildup of fuels. The result is a 'firefighting trap' that contributes to ongoing fuel accumulation precluding suppression under extreme fire weather, and resulting in more severe and larger fires. We believe that a 'business as usual' approach to wildfire in MCRs will not solve the fire problem, and recommend that policy and expenditures be rebalanced between suppression and mitigation of the negative impacts of fire. This requires a paradigm shift: policy effectiveness should not be primarily measured as a function of area burned (as it usually is), but rather as a function of avoided socio-ecological damage and loss.
This work was financed by national funds through FCT—Foundation for Science and Technology, within the scope of project PCIF/AGT/0136/2017 (People&Fire: reducing risk, living with risk) and PTDC/AGR-FOR/2586/2014 (RurIntFIre: Fire in the Rural-Urban Interface: characterisation, risk mapping, and fuel break design). FM was funded through contract IF/01053/2015 (FCT). JMCP was supported by the Forest Research Centre, a research unit funded by Foundation for Science and Technology I.P. (FCT), Portugal (UID/AGR/00239/2019). PF work was carried under project UID/AGR/04033/2019 supported by FCT. JMM acknowledges funding from Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades (project CGL2016-78357-R)