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Incorporating stakeholders' values into environmental decision support : A Bayesian Belief Network approach
- Publication Year :
- 2019
-
Abstract
- Participatory modelling increases the transparency of environmental planning and management processes and enhances the mutual understanding among different parties. We present a sequential probabilistic approach to involve stakeholders' views in the formal decision support process. A continuous Bayesian Belief Network (BBN) model is used to estimate population parameters for stakeholder groups, based on samples of individual value judgements. The approach allows quantification and visualization of the variability in views among and within stakeholder groups. Discrete BBN is populated with these parameters, to summarize and visualize the information and to link it to a larger decision analytic influence diagram (ID). As part of ID, the resulting discrete BBN element serves as a distribution-form decision criteria in probabilistic evaluation of alternative management strategies, to help find a solution that represents the optimal compromise in the presence of potentially conflicting objectives. We demonstrate our idea using example data from the field of marine spatial planning. However, this approach is applicable to many types of management cases. We suggest that by advancing the mutual understanding and concrete participation this approach can further facilitate the stakeholder involvement also during the various stages of the environmental management process. (C) 2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.
- Subjects :
- Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis
Decision support system
Environmental Engineering
GULF
010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences
Process (engineering)
Computer science
Population
MODELS
010501 environmental sciences
Bayesian Belief Network
01 natural sciences
ECOSYSTEM-BASED MANAGEMENT
Environmental Chemistry
Influence diagram
education
Waste Management and Disposal
1172 Environmental sciences
0105 earth and related environmental sciences
education.field_of_study
COASTAL
Probabilistic logic
Stakeholder
TRADE-OFFS
Bayesian network
SERVICES
16. Peace & justice
Multiple-criteria decision analysis
FRAMEWORK
Pollution
OIL
RIVER-BASIN
Participatory modelling
Risk analysis (engineering)
BALTIC SEA
Stakeholder involvement
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- Database :
- OpenAIRE
- Accession number :
- edsair.doi.dedup.....cdbccd5b8e33f65740e74a84f79f40b1