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A two-step method for mode choice estimation with socioeconomic and spatial information
- Source :
- Repositório Institucional da Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC), Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC), instacron:UFC, Repositório Institucional da USP (Biblioteca Digital da Produção Intelectual), Universidade de São Paulo (USP), instacron:USP
- Publication Year :
- 2015
- Publisher :
- Spatial Statistics, 2015.
-
Abstract
- Individuals choose the travel mode considering their own characteristics, those of the journey and the transport systems. Despite the current wide availability of georeferenced information and the forthcoming of Spatial Travel Demand Analysis as a research field, only a few studies have integrated the mode choice modeling methods and the geographical information. In this context, the goal of this paper is to apply a two-step method to estimate the mode choice based on the geographical position and socioeconomic attributes. From a database of household surveys in the city of Sao Carlos (Brazil) the first step of the method is to select the attributes which most influence the mode choice with a Decision Tree (DT). After comparing the performance of the DT with a Multinomial Logit Model, an Ordinary Kriging is applied to predict the mode choice under the spatial locations. The DT has shown to be effective in estimating the mode choice and selecting the variables to be kriged, which allowed predicting the mode choice of travelers based on geographical location. The proposed method may be an alternative to the traditional approaches in both non-spatial and spatial modeling, by enabling mode choice estimations given geographic coordinates of households.
- Subjects :
- Statistics and Probability
Computer science
Decision tree
Context (language use)
Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law
Field (geography)
Kriging
Statistics
Econometrics
Spatial estimation
Ordinary Kriging
Computers in Earth Sciences
Mode choice
Geographic coordinate system
Spatial analysis
KRIGAGEM
Multinomial logistic regression
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- Database :
- OpenAIRE
- Journal :
- Repositório Institucional da Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC), Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC), instacron:UFC, Repositório Institucional da USP (Biblioteca Digital da Produção Intelectual), Universidade de São Paulo (USP), instacron:USP
- Accession number :
- edsair.doi.dedup.....c5fe3dc834418c82206fc9218ef95e20