Back to Search Start Over

Agreement between reconstructed and modeled boreal precipitation of the Last Interglacial

Authors :
Philip J. Ward
Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Matthias Prange
Masa Kageyama
Hans Renssen
Dim Coumou
Paolo Scussolini
Pepijn Johannes Bakker
Jian Cao
Qiong Zhang
Bette L. Otto-Bliesner
Christian Stepanek
Maria-Vittoria Guarino
Pascale Braconnot
Chuncheng Guo
Water and Climate Risk
Earth and Climate
Earth Sciences
Life Sciences [Amsterdam] (MAC4)
Centrum Wiskunde & Informatica (CWI)
Department of Physical Geography [Stockholm]
Stockholm University
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement [Gif-sur-Yvette] (LSCE)
Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)
Modelling the Earth Response to Multiple Anthropogenic Interactions and Dynamics (MERMAID)
Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)
Department of Computer Science and Engineering [Shanghai] (CSE)
Shanghai Jiao Tong University [Shanghai]
Center for Marine Environmental Sciences [Bremen] (MARUM)
Universität Bremen
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam [Amsterdam] (VU)
Modélisation du climat (CLIM)
National Center for Atmospheric Research [Boulder] (NCAR)
Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
Source :
Science Advances, Science advances, 5(11):eaax7047, 1-12. American Association for the Advancement of Science, Science Advances, American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS), 2019, 5 (11), pp.eaax7047. ⟨10.1126/sciadv.aax7047⟩, Science Advances, 2019, 5 (11), pp.eaax7047. ⟨10.1126/sciadv.aax7047⟩, Science Advances, 5 (11). Art.Nr. eaax7047., Scussolini, P, Bakker, P, Guo, C, Stepanek, C, Zhang, Q, Braconnot, P, Cao, J, Guarino, M-V, Coumou, D, Prange, M, Ward, P J, Renssen, H, Kageyama, M, Otto-Bliesner, B & Aerts, J C J H 2019, ' Agreement between reconstructed and modeled boreal precipitation of the Last Interglacial ', Science advances, vol. 5, no. 11, eaax7047, pp. 1-12 . https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aax7047
Publication Year :
2019

Abstract

Models used to project climate change agree with geological evidence of precipitation in most boreal land in a past warm climate.<br />The last extended time period when climate may have been warmer than today was during the Last Interglacial (LIG; ca. 129 to 120 thousand years ago). However, a global view of LIG precipitation is lacking. Here, seven new LIG climate models are compared to the first global database of proxies for LIG precipitation. In this way, models are assessed in their ability to capture important hydroclimatic processes during a different climate. The models can reproduce the proxy-based positive precipitation anomalies from the preindustrial period over much of the boreal continents. Over the Southern Hemisphere, proxy-model agreement is partial. In models, LIG boreal monsoons have 42% wider area than in the preindustrial and produce 55% more precipitation and 50% more extreme precipitation. Austral monsoons are weaker. The mechanisms behind these changes are consistent with stronger summer radiative forcing over boreal high latitudes and with the associated higher temperatures during the LIG.

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
23752548
Database :
OpenAIRE
Journal :
Science Advances, Science advances, 5(11):eaax7047, 1-12. American Association for the Advancement of Science, Science Advances, American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS), 2019, 5 (11), pp.eaax7047. ⟨10.1126/sciadv.aax7047⟩, Science Advances, 2019, 5 (11), pp.eaax7047. ⟨10.1126/sciadv.aax7047⟩, Science Advances, 5 (11). Art.Nr. eaax7047., Scussolini, P, Bakker, P, Guo, C, Stepanek, C, Zhang, Q, Braconnot, P, Cao, J, Guarino, M-V, Coumou, D, Prange, M, Ward, P J, Renssen, H, Kageyama, M, Otto-Bliesner, B & Aerts, J C J H 2019, ' Agreement between reconstructed and modeled boreal precipitation of the Last Interglacial ', Science advances, vol. 5, no. 11, eaax7047, pp. 1-12 . https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aax7047
Accession number :
edsair.doi.dedup.....ba35e20115936b4f203fa435c2ac65e9
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aax7047⟩