Karyotype of first clinical miscarriage and prognosis of subsequent pregnancy outcome

Research question Is the karyotype of the first clinical miscarriage in an infertile patient predictive of the outcome of the subsequent pregnancy? Design Retrospective cohort study of infertile patients undergoing manual vacuum aspiration with chromosome testing at the time of the first (index) clinical miscarriage with a genetic diagnosis and a subsequent pregnancy. Patients treated at two academic-affiliated fertility centres from 1999 to 2018 were included; those using preimplantation genetic testing for aneuploidy were excluded. Main outcome was live birth in the subsequent pregnancy. Results One hundred patients with euploid clinical miscarriage and 151 patients with aneuploid clinical miscarriage in the index pregnancy were included. Patients with euploid clinical miscarriage in the index pregnancy had a live birth rate of 63% in the subsequent pregnancy compared with 68% among patients with aneuploid clinical miscarriage (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0.75, 95% CI 0.47–1.39, P = 0.45, logistic regression model adjusting for age, parity, body mass index and mode of conception). In a multinomial logistic regression model with three outcomes (live birth, clinical miscarriage or biochemical miscarriage), euploid clinical miscarriage for the index pregnancy was associated with similar odds of clinical miscarriage in the subsequent pregnancy compared with aneuploid clinical miscarriage for the index pregnancy (32% versus 24%, respectively, aOR 1.49, 95% CI 0.83–2.70, P = 0.19). Euploid clinical miscarriage for the index pregnancy was not associated with likelihood of biochemical miscarriage in the subsequent pregnancy compared with aneuploid clinical miscarriage (5% versus 8%, respectively, aOR 0.46, 95% CI 0.14–1.55, P = 0.21). Conclusion Prognosis after a first clinical miscarriage among infertile patients is equally favourable among patients with euploid and aneuploid karyotype, and independent of the karyotype of the pregnancy loss.