Development of a novel lipid metabolism-based risk score model in hepatocellular carcinoma patients

Background Liver cancer is one of the most common malignancies worldwide. HCC (hepatocellular carcinoma) is the predominant pathological type of liver cancer, accounting for approximately 75–85 % of all liver cancers. Lipid metabolic reprogramming has emerged as an important feature of HCC. However, the influence of lipid metabolism-related gene expression in HCC patient prognosis remains unknown. In this study, we performed a comprehensive analysis of HCC gene expression data from TCGA (The Cancer Genome Atlas) to acquire further insight into the role of lipid metabolism-related genes in HCC patient prognosis. Methods We analyzed the mRNA expression profiles of 424 HCC patients from the TCGA database. GSEA(Gene Set Enrichment Analysis) was performed to identify lipid metabolism-related gene sets associated with HCC. We performed univariate Cox regression and LASSO(least absolute shrinkage and selection operator) regression analyses to identify genes with prognostic value and develop a prognostic model, which was tested in a validation cohort. We performed Kaplan-Meier survival and ROC (receiver operating characteristic) analyses to evaluate the performance of the model. Results We identified three lipid metabolism-related genes (ME1, MED10, MED22) with prognostic value in HCC and used them to calculate a risk score for each HCC patient. High-risk HCC patients exhibited a significantly lower survival rate than low-risk patients. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that the 3-gene signature was an independent prognostic factor in HCC. Furthermore, the signature provided a highly accurate prediction of HCC patient prognosis. Conclusions We identified three lipid-metabolism-related genes that are upregulated in HCC tissues and established a 3-gene signature-based risk model that can accurately predict HCC patient prognosis. Our findings support the strong links between lipid metabolism and HCC and may facilitate the development of new metabolism-targeted treatment approaches for HCC.