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Indeterminacy and imperfect information

Authors :
Elmar Mertens
Christian Matthes
Thomas A. Lubik
Source :
Review of Economic Dynamics.
Publication Year :
2022
Publisher :
Elsevier BV, 2022.

Abstract

We study equilibrium determination in an environment where two kinds of agents have different information sets: The fully informed agents know the structure of the model and observe histories of all exogenous and endogenous variables. The less in-formed agents observe only a strict subset of the full information set. All types of agents form expectations rationally, but agents with limited information need to solve a dynamic signal extraction problem to gather information about the variables they do not observe. We show that for parameters values that imply a unique equilibrium under full information, the limited information rational expectations equilibrium can be indeterminate. In a simple application of our framework to a monetary policy problem we show that limited information on part of the central bank implies indeterminate outcomes even when the Taylor Principle holds.

Details

ISSN :
10942025
Database :
OpenAIRE
Journal :
Review of Economic Dynamics
Accession number :
edsair.doi.dedup.....a7a3e9e5e69b1b6726ed8daa31649a58
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.red.2022.09.003