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Transboundary spread of peste des petits ruminants virus in western China: A prediction model
- Source :
- PLoS ONE, PLoS ONE, Vol 16, Iss 9, p e0257898 (2021)
- Publication Year :
- 2021
- Publisher :
- Public Library of Science, 2021.
-
Abstract
- In pan Pamir Plateau countries, Peste des petits ruminants (PPR) has brought huge losses to the livestock industry and threaten the endangered wildlife. In unknown regions, revealing PPRV transmission among countries is the premise of effective prevention and control, therefore calls for quantified monitoring on disease communication among countries. In this paper, a MaxEnt model was built for the first time to predict the PPR risk within the research area. The least cost path (LCP) for PPR transboundary communication were calculated and referred to as the maximum available paths (MAP). The results show that there are many places with high-risk in the research area, and the domestic risk in China is lower than that in foreign countries and is mainly determined by human activities. Five LCPs representing corridors among Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, Pakistan, India and China were obtained. This study proves for the first time that there is the possibility of cross-border transmission of diseases by wild and domestic animals. In the future, it will play an important role in monitoring the PPR epidemic and blocking-up its cross-border transmission.
- Subjects :
- Tajikistan
Topography
Epidemiology
Endangered species
Wildlife
law.invention
law
Mountains
Medicine and Health Sciences
Pakistan
Plateaus
Socioeconomics
Phylogeny
Animal Management
Mammals
Multidisciplinary
Least cost path
Eukaryota
Agriculture
Ruminants
Terrestrial Environments
Kazakhstan
Phylogeography
Geography
Transmission (mechanics)
Vertebrates
Medicine
Livestock
Research Article
China
Science
India
Animals, Wild
Peste-des-petits-ruminants virus
Population Metrics
Peste-des-Petits-Ruminants
Animals
Domestic Animals
Population Density
Landforms
Population Biology
business.industry
Ecology and Environmental Sciences
Organisms
Biology and Life Sciences
Geomorphology
Models, Theoretical
Medical Risk Factors
Amniotes
Earth Sciences
business
Zoology
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 19326203
- Volume :
- 16
- Issue :
- 9
- Database :
- OpenAIRE
- Journal :
- PLoS ONE
- Accession number :
- edsair.doi.dedup.....a4056d540754b73c895eb3ecf397a07a