The clinical impact of multiple prevention strategies for respiratory syncytial virus infections in infants and high-risk toddlers in the United States

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) remains a leading cause of medically-attended acute respiratory infection in infants and children. With multiple preventative interventions under development, accurate estimates of health care resource utilization are essential for policy decision making.We developed a literature-based decision-tree model that estimated annual medically-attended RSV (MA-RSV) lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) and non-LRTI episodes in the US for all infants and for high-risk toddlers. The model accounted for the gestational age and birth-month of infants, and the seasonal variation in RSV incidence. The impact of no prophylaxis, palivizumab, maternal vaccine, and long-acting monoclonal antibody (mAb) interventions was estimated.We estimated 1.23 million (range: 0.96 million-1.40 million) annual MA-RSV LRTI/non-LRTI episodes comprised of 1.19 million (range: 0.93 million-1.36 million) emergency department (ED) and outpatient visits, and 39,040 (range: 32,726-45,851) hospitalizations. Outpatient and ED visits were comprised of 586,034 (range: 430,595-718,868) LRTIs and 608,733 (range: 495,705-644,658) non-LRTIs. The long-acting mAb intervention resulted in the greatest number of averted outpatient and ED episodes (310,997 [53%] LRTIs; 284,305 [47%] non-LRTIs) and hospitalizations (21,845 [56%]). Full-term infants constitute the highest proportion of episodes across all interventions.MA-RSV disease is substantial in infants and high-risk toddlers. Long-acting mAbs are most effective at reducing the number of MA-RSV LRTI/non-LRTI episodes, and the only intervention that prevents disease in older infants (≥6 months old).