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COVID-19 vaccination and unemployment risk: lessons from the Italian crisis
- Source :
- Scientific Reports, Scientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-8 (2021)
- Publication Year :
- 2021
- Publisher :
- Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 2021.
-
Abstract
- This paper analyzes the impact of mobility contraction on employee furlough and excess deaths in Italy during the COVID-19 crisis. Our approach exploits rainfall patterns across Italian administrative regions as a source of exogenous variation in human mobility to pinpoint the causal effect of mobility restrictions on excess deaths and furlough workers. Results confirm that the first countrywide lockdown has effectively curtailed the COVID-19 epidemics restricting it mainly to the northern part of the country, with the drawback of a countrywide increase in unemployment risk. Our analysis points out that a mobility contraction of 1% leads to a mortality reduction of 0.6%, but it induces an increase of 10% in Wage Guarantee Funds allowed hours. We discuss return-to-work policies and prioritizing policies for administering COVID-19 vaccines in the most advanced stage of a vaccination campaign when the healthy active population is left to be vaccinated.
- Subjects :
- Risk
COVID-19 Vaccines
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)
Science
media_common.quotation_subject
Population
Complex networks
Wage
Article
Humans
Statistical physics, thermodynamics and nonlinear dynamics
education
media_common
education.field_of_study
Multidisciplinary
Statistics
Causal effect
COVID-19
Mortality reduction
Survival Rate
Vaccination
Italy
Unemployment
Communicable Disease Control
Medicine
Demographic economics
Business
Drawback
Subjects
Details
- ISSN :
- 20452322
- Volume :
- 11
- Database :
- OpenAIRE
- Journal :
- Scientific Reports
- Accession number :
- edsair.doi.dedup.....9a8e85bc3af16d2b4c65a1f70852e391
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-97462-6