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Exploring meteorological impacts based on Köppen-Geiger climate classification after reviewing China's response to COVID-19

Authors :
Fangyuan, Chen
Siya, Chen
Mengmeng, Jia
Mingyue, Jiang
Zhiwei, Leng
Libing, Ma
Yanxia, Sun
Ting, Zhang
Luzhao, Feng
Weizhong, Yang
Source :
Applied Mathematical Modelling. 114:133-146
Publication Year :
2023
Publisher :
Elsevier BV, 2023.

Abstract

More than 30 months into the novel coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, efforts to bring this prevalence under control have achieved tentative achievements in China. However, the continuing increase in confirmed cases worldwide and the novel variants imply a severe risk of imported viruses. High-intensity non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) are the mainly used measures of China's early response to COVID-19, which enabled effective control in the first wave of the epidemic. However, their efficiency is relatively low across China at the current stage. Therefore, this study focuses on whether measurable meteorological variables be found through global data to learn more about COVID-19 and explore flexible controls. This study first examines the control measures, such as NPIs and vaccination, on COVID-19 transmission across 189 countries, especially in China. Subsequently, we estimate the association between meteorological factors and time-varying reproduction numbers based on the global data by meta-population epidemic model, eliminating the aforementioned anthropogenic factors. According to this study, we find that the basic reproduction number of COVID-19 transmission varied wildly among Köppen-Geiger climate classifications, which is of great significance for the flexible adjustment of China's control protocols. We obtain that in southeast China, Köppen-Geiger climate sub-classifications, Cwb, Cfa, and Cfb, are more likely to spread COVID-19. In August, the R

Details

ISSN :
0307904X
Volume :
114
Database :
OpenAIRE
Journal :
Applied Mathematical Modelling
Accession number :
edsair.doi.dedup.....91fa0d2864b601f58b62edfb9a54ce0f