Could early tumour volume changes assessed on morphological MRI predict the response to chemoradiation therapy in locally-advanced rectal cancer?

Aim: To investigate the potential role of an additional magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) examination performed during neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy (CRT) in the prediction of pathological response in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). Material and methods: Forty-eight consecutive patients with LARC underwent neoadjuvant CRT. MRI studies at 1.5 T, including high-resolution T2-weighted sequences that were acquired parallel and perpendicular to the main axis of the tumour were performed before (preMRI), during (midMRI), and 6-8 weeks after the end of CRT (postMRI). Cancer volumes (Vpre, Vmid, Vpost) were drawn manually and the reduction rate calculated (ΔVmid, ΔVpost). According to Rödel's pathological tumour regression grade (TRG), patients were considered non-responders (NR; TRG0-2), partial responders (PR; TRG3), and complete responders (CR; TRG4). Multivariate regression analysis was performed to identify the best MRI predictors of NR, PR, and CR. Results: Twenty-five patients were considered PR (52%), 13 CR (27%), and 10 NR (22%). Tumour shrinkage mainly occurred shortly after CRT (ΔVmid: CR: 80±10% versus PR: 56±19% versus NR: 28±22%, p=2.2×10-16). Vmid, Vpost, ΔVmid, and ΔVpostcorrelated with TRG (p