Predictive Value of Cerebrospinal Fluid Matrix Metalloproteinase-9 and Tissue Inhibitor of Metalloproteinase-1 Concentrations in Childhood Bacterial Meningitis

BACKGROUND Increased concentrations of matrix metalloproteinases (MMP) in cerebrospinal fluid are part of the host response in bacterial meningitis (BM). We investigated whether the concentrations of MMP-9 and the tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase (TIMP)-1 predict the outcome in childhood BM. METHODS Cerebrospinal fluid MMP-9 and tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase-1 (TIMP-1) were quantified by an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay from 264 and 335 patients, respectively; 43 children without BM served as controls. The results were compared with previously known independent predictors of death and sequelae. RESULTS Higher MMP-9 and TIMP-1 values distinguished the controls from the BM patients (P 940 ng/mL proved an independent predictor of death [adjusted odds ratio: 4.03; 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.09-7.77; P < 0.0001]. If the patient additionally presented with a Glasgow Coma Score below 9, the odds increased to 13.21 (95% CI: 5.44-32.08; P < 0.0001). TIMP-1 levels correlated with the severity of sequelae (ρ: 0.30; P < 0.0001), but not with death. Its concentration above 390 ng/mL increased the likelihood of sequelae 3.43-fold (95% CI: 1·73-6·79; P = 0.0004), and up to 31.18-fold (95% CI: 4.05-239.8; P = 0.0009) if the patient also presented a Glasgow Coma Score < 12. CONCLUSIONS Elevated cerebrospinal fluid MMP-9 and TIMP-1 values predict 2 important outcomes in childhood BM. Combined with a clinical evaluation, quantification of these indices augments the chances to identify the patients in greatest need of better treatment modalities.