Selection criteria for 3D conformal radiotherapy versus volumetric-modulated arc therapy in high-grade glioma based on normal tissue complication probability of brain

There are no quantitative selection criteria for identifying high-grade glioma (HGG) patients who are suited for volumetric-modulated arc therapy (VMAT). This study aimed to develop selection criteria that can be used for the selection of the optimal treatment modality in HGG. We analyzed 20 patients with HGG treated by 3D conformal radiotherapy (3DCRT). First, VMAT plans were created for each patient retrospectively. For each plan, the normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) for normal brain was calculated. We then divided the patients based on the NTCPs of the 3DCRT plans for normal brain, using the threshold of 5%. We compared the NTCPs of the two plans and the gross tumor volumes (GTVs) of the two groups. For the GTVs, we used receiver operating characteristic curves to identify the cut-off value for predicting NTCP < 5%. We determined the respective correlations between the GTV and the GTV’s largest cross-sectional diameter and largest cross-sectional area. In the NTCP ≥ 5% group, the NTCPs for the VMAT plans were significantly lower than those for the 3DCRT plans (P = 0.0011). The NTCP ≥ 5% group’s GTV was significantly larger than that of the NTCP < 5% group (P = 0.0016), and the cut-off value of the GTV was 130.5 cm3. The GTV was strongly correlated with the GTV’s largest cross-sectional diameter (R2 = 0.82) and largest cross-sectional area (R2 = 0.94), which produced the cut-off values of 7.5 cm and 41 cm2, respectively. It was concluded that VMAT is more appropriate than 3DCRT in cases in which the GTV is ≥130.5 cm3.