Predicting short-term outcomes following supratentorial tumor surgery

Objectives The LACE+ index risk prediction tool has not been successfully used to predict short-term outcomes after neurosurgery. This study assessed the ability of LACE+ to predict 30-day (30D) adverse outcomes after supratentorial brain tumor surgery. Patients and methods LACE+ scores were retrospectively calculated for consecutive patients (n = 624) who received surgery for supratentorial tumors at one multi-center health system (2017–2019). Coarsened exact matching was employed to control for confounding variables. Outcomes including unplanned hospital readmission, emergency department visits, and death were compared for patients with different LACE+ score quartiles (Q1, Q2, Q3, Q4). Results 134 patients were matched between Q1 and Q4; 152 patients between Q2 and Q4; 192 patients between Q3 and Q4. LACE+ score was not found to predict readmission within 30D of discharge for Q1 vs Q4 (p = 0.239), Q2 vs Q4 (p = 0.336), or Q3 vs Q4 (p = 0.739). LACE + score also did not predict 30D risk of emergency department visits for Q1 vs Q4 (p = 0.210), Q2 vs Q4 (p = 0.839), or Q3 vs Q4 (p = 0.167). LACE + did predict death within 30D of surgery for Q3 vs Q4 (1.04 % vs 7.29 %, p = 0.039), but not for Q1 vs Q4 (p = 0.625) or Q2 vs Q4 (p = 0.125). Conclusion LACE + may not be suitable for characterizing short-term risk of certain perioperative events in a patient population undergoing supratentorial brain tumor surgery.