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Potential for car use reduction through a simulation approach: Paris and Lyon case studies
- Source :
- Transport Reviews, Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis (Routledge), 2006, 26 (1), pp. 25-42. ⟨10.1080/01441640500124787⟩
- Publication Year :
- 2006
- Publisher :
- HAL CCSD, 2006.
-
Abstract
- International audience; The aim of the present study is to evaluate the possible extent of modal shifts from car use to 'alternative modes' (public transport, cycling, walking) without any change in individual patterns of activity. Its approach is based on a transfer procedure that allows the simulation of the maximal potential market for transport modes other than the private car. The method is based on repeated iterations of a simulation model that assigns journeys to transport modes other than the automobile based on a number of improved public transport scenarios. Demand is channelled towards individual modes (walking, cycling), public transport, and a combination of individual and public modes, based on their relative time and distance performance. The modal transfer procedure is applied to several transport supply scenarios, which provide a picture of what is possible in the sphere of modal split. Each simulation entails a potential transfer of private vehicle-km to each of the other modes. Even where different public transport scenarios are simulated, the transfer is evaluated for round trips in both the Paris and Lyon surveys. There is therefore no modification in the activity pattern of the people surveyed nor trips induced by improvements in transport supply. The aim is not to predict what would be the modal split in other circumstances, but the upper limit of the shifts. This paper presents our methodology and the principal results obtained through numerical simulations based on figures for the Paris and Lyon conurbations. This approach demonstrates that a policy focused on modal shifts has the potential to reduce car use, but that this potential is limited. Any aspiration to reduce car use further would mean changes in the patterns and location of activity.
- Subjects :
- Engineering
Lyon (France)
0211 other engineering and technologies
Public policy
Transportation
02 engineering and technology
Urban transport,Modal split,modal split simulation method,Transportation policy,Car use reduction,Public transport,Individual daily mobility,modal transfer,Paris (France),Lyon (France)
Transport engineering
0502 economics and business
11. Sustainability
Limit (music)
Individual daily mobility
050210 logistics & transportation
Mathematical model
Transportation policy
business.industry
05 social sciences
Principal (computer security)
021107 urban & regional planning
[SHS.ECO]Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance
Urban transport
Modal
Modal split
Public transport
Paris (France)
TRIPS architecture
modal split simulation method
modal transfer
Car use reduction
Reduction (mathematics)
business
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 01441647 and 14645327
- Database :
- OpenAIRE
- Journal :
- Transport Reviews, Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis (Routledge), 2006, 26 (1), pp. 25-42. ⟨10.1080/01441640500124787⟩
- Accession number :
- edsair.doi.dedup.....5bbd48b56cb2a60bf0fb8511c18b9018