Quantifying Location-Specific Impacts of Pavement Albedo on Radiative Forcing Using an Analytical Approach

High-albedo materials reflect more solar radiation and, thereby, alter the earth's radiative balance. Increasing pavement albedo, therefore, has been considered as a technological strategy to mitigate global warming. Previous studies have evaluated this strategy using global average models. To factor this effect into life cycle assessments, location-specific models of the albedo effect for pavements are required. A parametric analytical model is developed to estimate the radiative forcing (RF) using a novel model form and an iterative solution approach. The new model is extended to estimate the corresponding global warming potential (GWP) over an analysis period of 50 years for an albedo change in a pavement surface. This was applied to quantify the GWP impacts of increasing pavement albedo in 14 cities across various climate zones in the US. For the United States, the GWP in kg CO2 equivalent per square meter of altered surface ranges from 0.8 to 1.6 per 0.01 change in albedo, a range of more than 40%. Analysis of a hypothetical albedo change to all darker pavements in the US would produce a negative RF of a magnitude equivalent to that associated with a reduction in CO2 emissions of more than 17 Mton per year.