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Increasing Difference of China Summer Precipitation Statistics Between Percentage Anomaly and Probability Distribution Methods Due to Tropical Warming

Authors :
Tao Yu
Liang Zhao
Yayu Ma
Jing-Song Wang
Source :
Earth and Space Science, Vol 8, Iss 7, Pp n/a-n/a (2021)
Publication Year :
2021
Publisher :
American Geophysical Union (AGU), 2021.

Abstract

Precipitation anomaly grades are usually defined by the percentage anomaly (Pa) or probability distribution (Pd) methods. However, the difference between the two may lead to different estimates for the same events, creating difficulty in judging the severity of the events. Here, we quantify the difference in measuring precipitation variability in China between Pa and Pd methods and analyze physical meaning and influencing factors of the difference. The results show that Pa tends to underestimate the domain of wetness (e.g., it underestimated 7.67% in June 2018) and overestimate/underestimate the severity of extreme wetness (>1.5σ)/dryness (

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
23335084
Volume :
8
Issue :
7
Database :
OpenAIRE
Journal :
Earth and Space Science
Accession number :
edsair.doi.dedup.....588c1a122f32c52d6392f482ec73e76d