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Post-2023 election scenarios in Turkey
- Source :
- SWP Comment
- Publication Year :
- 2022
- Publisher :
- Berlin: Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP), 2022.
-
Abstract
- Millions of Turkish voters are geared up for the twin (parliamentary and presidential) elections that are scheduled to take place in June 2023 at the latest. After nearly 20 years in power, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's rule may seem unassailable to many observers of Turkish politics. However, owing to the economic downturn and rifts in his ruling party, this will be the first election in which Erdoğan is not the clear favourite. Six oppo­sition parties of different ideological origins have come together to pick a joint presidential candidate to stand against Erdoğan and to offer a common platform for restoring parliamentary democracy. Although the opposition alliance has reasonable chances of defeating Erdoğan's ruling bloc, their victory would not guarantee a smooth process of transition to parliamentary democracy. If the opposition can defeat Erdoğan, the new government would need to undertake the arduous tasks of estab­lishing a meri­tocratic bureaucracy, restructuring Turkey's diplomatic course and economic policy, and switching back to parliamentary rule. Due to the opposition alliance's diverse com­position, accomplishing these goals may be as difficult as winning the elections.
- Subjects :
- Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
Turkey
Politikwissenschaft
opposition
Nationalist Movement Party (MHP)
Präsidentschaftswahl
Ali Babacan
Migrationspolitik
parliamentary election
change of government
Türkei
Szenario
Wahlergebnis
Ahmet Davutoğlu
Kandidatur
Außenpolitik
candidacy
Political Process, Elections, Political Sociology, Political Culture
Staatsoberhaupt
Political science
Reformpolitik
politische Willensbildung, politische Soziologie, politische Kultur
Future Party (GP)
Parlamentswahl
reform policy
election result
Democracy and Progress Party (DEVA)
formation of a government
Nation Alliance
head of state
parliamentary and presidential elections
Justice and Development Party (AKP)
Regierungswechsel
scenario
presidential election
foreign policy
ddc:320
Erdoğan, Recep Tayyip
Adalet ve Kalkinma Partisi (Türkiye)
Wahlbündnis
Oppositionspartei
Oppositionsführer
Entwicklungsperspektive und -tendenz
Wahlfälschungen/Wahlbetrug
Präsidiales Regierungssystem
Wirtschaftskrise
Außenpolitische Neuorientierung
Flüchtlinge
Syrer
Syrien
Politische Reformen
Öffentlicher Dienst
EU-/EG-Länder
Europäische Union
Cumhuriyet Halk Partisi (Türkiye)
Halkların Demokratik Partisi (Türkiye)
Regierungsbildung
migration policy
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- Database :
- OpenAIRE
- Journal :
- SWP Comment
- Accession number :
- edsair.doi.dedup.....53dcced399749de62f2829a6bbeef24c