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Option Pricing with State-dependent Pricing Kernel

Authors :
Tong, Chen
Hansen, Peter Reinhard
Huang, Zhuo
Publication Year :
2021
Publisher :
arXiv, 2021.

Abstract

We introduce a new volatility model for option pricing that combines Markov switching with the Realized GARCH framework. This leads to a novel pricing kernel with a state-dependent variance risk premium and a pricing formula for European options, which is derived with an analytical approximation method. We apply the Markov switching Realized GARCH model to S&P 500 index options from 1990 to 2019 and find that investors' aversion to volatility-specific risk is time-varying. The proposed framework outperforms competing models and reduces (in-sample and out-of-sample) option pricing errors by 15% or more.

Details

Database :
OpenAIRE
Accession number :
edsair.doi.dedup.....4e342fe9758f6ecfc715024d1d6c48ac
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2112.05308