Predictors of mortality and survival probability distribution among patients on tuberculosis treatment in Vihiga County, Kenya

Background: Tuberculosis (TB) related mortality remains a serious impediment in ending TB epidemic. Objective: To estimate survival probability and identify predictors, causes and conditions contributing to mortality among TB patients in Vihiga County. Methods: A cohort of 291 patients from 20 purposively selected health facilities were prospectively considered. Data was obtained by validated questionnaires through face-to-face interviews. Survival probabilities were estimated using Kaplan-Meier method while Cox proportional hazard model identified predictors of TB mortality through calculation of hazard ratios at 95% confidence intervals. Mortality audit data was qualitatively categorized to elicit causes and conditions contributing to mortality. Results: 209 (72%) were male, median age was 40 (IQR=32-53) years while TB/HIV coinfection rate was 35%. Overall, 45 (15%) patients died, majority (78% (log rank