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Mathematical Modelling of Radicalization And Terrorism Dynamics in the Central Sahel

Authors :
Malicki ZOROM
Babacar LEYE
Serigne M'backé COLY
Mamadou DIOP
Abdou LAWANE GANA
Maïmouna BOLOGO/TRAORE
Dial NIANG
Publication Year :
2023
Publisher :
Research Square Platform LLC, 2023.

Abstract

The increase in violence has created an unprecedented crisis in the Sahel, particularly the Central Sahel, with massive displacement of populations already vulnerable to climatic hazards. This paper aims to propose a mathematical model of the ordinary differential equation system that will reflect the dynamics of terrorism and internal displacement. Sobol's sensitivity analysis of the model's parameters will allow us to make proposals for reducing terrorism. Military actions alone do not contribute effectively for fight against terrorism because they only contribute less than 20\%. Radicalization prevention and de-radicalization strategies must be adopted jointly to effectively reduce the spread of terrorism because they contribute more than 80\% on the fight against terrorism.

Details

Database :
OpenAIRE
Accession number :
edsair.doi.dedup.....44c1ecdc9f7d40ae697df75eae3ceb21
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-2456193/v2