Increased risk of virological failure to the first antiretroviral regimen in HIV-infected migrants compared to natives: data from the ICONA cohort

Introduction Aim of the study was to evaluate possible disparities in access and/or risk of virological failure (VF) to the first antiretroviral (ART) regimen for migrants compared to Italian-born patients and to assess determinants of failure for the migrants living with HIV. Methods All native and migrant naïve patients enrolled in ICONA in 2004–2014 were included. Firstly, variables associated to ART initiation were analyzed. In a second analysis, the primary endpoint was time to failure after at least six months of ART, defined as: (a) VF (first of two consecutive viral load (VL) >50 and >200 copies/mL); (b) treatment discontinuation (TD) for any reason; and (c) treatment failure (TF: confirmed VL >200 cp/mL or TD). A Poisson multivariable analysis was performed to control for confounders. Results A total of 5777 HIV-pos ART-naïve patients (1179 migrants and 4598 natives) were evaluated. Most migrants were from sub-Saharan Africa (35.3%) and South-Central America/Caribbean (29%). Median duration of residency in Italy was five years (IQR 1–10). Baseline characteristics significantly differed between the two groups (Table 1); in particular, lower CD4 counts and higher frequency of AIDS events were observed in migrants vs natives. When adjusting for baseline confounders, migrants presented a lower chance to initiate ART compared to natives (OR 0.78, 95% CI 0.65–0.93, p=0.006). After ART initiation, the incidence rate of VF >50 cp/mL was 15.5 per 100 person-years (95% CI 12.8–18.8) in migrants and 8.9 in natives (95% CI 7.9–9.9), respectively. By multivariable analysis, migrants had a significantly higher risk of VF, both >50 cp/mL (OR 1.50, 95% CI 1.17–1.193, p=0.001) and >200 cp/mL (OR 1.59, 95% CI 1.23–2.05, p