Back to Search Start Over

Improving the length of confidence sets for the date of a break in level and trend when the order of integration is unknown

Authors :
Stephen J. Leybourne
David I. Harvey
Source :
Economics Letters. 145:239-245
Publication Year :
2016
Publisher :
Elsevier BV, 2016.

Abstract

Harvey and Leybourne (2015) construct confidence sets for the timing of a break in level and/or trend, based on inverting sequences of test statistics for a break at all possible dates. These are valid, in the sense of yielding correct asymptotic coverage, for I(0) or I(1) errors. In constructing the tests, location-dependent weights are chosen for values of the break magnitude parameter such that each test conveniently has the same limit null distribution. By not imposing such a scheme, we show that it is generally possible to significantly shorten the length of the confidence sets, whilst maintaining accurate coverage properties.

Details

ISSN :
01651765
Volume :
145
Database :
OpenAIRE
Journal :
Economics Letters
Accession number :
edsair.doi.dedup.....3d97b28151ba690e7c611cfcd170fa6e
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2016.06.015