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Improving the length of confidence sets for the date of a break in level and trend when the order of integration is unknown
- Source :
- Economics Letters. 145:239-245
- Publication Year :
- 2016
- Publisher :
- Elsevier BV, 2016.
-
Abstract
- Harvey and Leybourne (2015) construct confidence sets for the timing of a break in level and/or trend, based on inverting sequences of test statistics for a break at all possible dates. These are valid, in the sense of yielding correct asymptotic coverage, for I(0) or I(1) errors. In constructing the tests, location-dependent weights are chosen for values of the break magnitude parameter such that each test conveniently has the same limit null distribution. By not imposing such a scheme, we show that it is generally possible to significantly shorten the length of the confidence sets, whilst maintaining accurate coverage properties.
- Subjects :
- Economics and Econometrics
05 social sciences
Magnitude (mathematics)
Trend break
Sense (electronics)
Confidence sets
Order of integration
Stationary
Unit root
0502 economics and business
Statistics
Level break
Null distribution
Limit (mathematics)
050207 economics
Algorithm
Finance
050205 econometrics
Mathematics
Statistical hypothesis testing
Subjects
Details
- ISSN :
- 01651765
- Volume :
- 145
- Database :
- OpenAIRE
- Journal :
- Economics Letters
- Accession number :
- edsair.doi.dedup.....3d97b28151ba690e7c611cfcd170fa6e
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2016.06.015