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Coastal flooding event definition based on damages: Case study of Biarritz Grande Plage on the French Basque coast

Authors :
Stéphane Abadie
Xavier Bertin
Florian Arnoux
Ivan Kojadinovic
Laboratoire de Mathématiques et de leurs Applications [Pau] (LMAP)
Université de Pau et des Pays de l'Adour (UPPA)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
Laboratoire des Sciences de l'Ingénieur Appliquées à la Mécanique et au génie Electrique (SIAME)
Université de Pau et des Pays de l'Adour (UPPA)
LIttoral ENvironnement et Sociétés - UMRi 7266 (LIENSs)
Université de La Rochelle (ULR)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
Source :
Coastal Engineering, Coastal Engineering, Elsevier, 2021, 166, pp.103873. ⟨10.1016/j.coastaleng.2021.103873⟩
Publication Year :
2021
Publisher :
HAL CCSD, 2021.

Abstract

International audience; This paper presents a method to include damage at the initial stage of coastal flooding events definition and in return periods computation. The methodology is illustrated within a local study carried out in Biarritz Grande Plage, a meso-tidal, wave dominated beach located on the french basque coast in the south west of France. The work is based on two datasets covering the period 1949-2015 : a first one, consisting of observation and synthetic data on wave characteristics and water level, and a second one, gathering storm dates and related damage intensities obtained through investigations in the press and in archives. A statistical analysis was first carried out to find the best combination of source variables explaining the reported damages for the identified storms. Maximal, mean and accumulated values were calculated over storm duration, considering source and aggregated variables based on the empirical run-up formula or the wave energy flux. Most rules combining a wave parameter and water level are found to provide satisfactory damage prediction as soon as maxima variables are considered. Rules based on mean variables are less accurate and those based on accumulated variable values are not relevant. The best results are obtained with the wave energy flux and water level maxima over the storm duration. The ability of the rules to be used as generic event definition rules is then tested by performing a retrospective analysis on the whole dataset, checking their efficiency in detecting historical storms (i.e., with damages) without finding too many false positives. Most of the rules formerly studied, except the ones using wave period only as wave parameter, were able to correctly perform this task. Coastal flood event return periods (RP) were then calculated by applying three of the best rules identified previously. The rule using non simultaneous maxima of wave energy flux and water level gives encouraging results for the RP values. Nevertheless, the discrepancy still observed among the different rules calls for further work in this direction.

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
03783839
Database :
OpenAIRE
Journal :
Coastal Engineering, Coastal Engineering, Elsevier, 2021, 166, pp.103873. ⟨10.1016/j.coastaleng.2021.103873⟩
Accession number :
edsair.doi.dedup.....3af1a7e4391d2e2b3a132f95cd946f43
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coastaleng.2021.103873⟩