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The Bayes' factor: the coherent measure for hypothesis confirmation
- Source :
- Law, Probability and Risk, vol. 20, pp. 15-36
- Publication Year :
- 2021
-
Abstract
- What have been called ‘Bayesian confirmation measures’ or ‘evidential support measures’ offer a numerical expression for the impact of a piece of evidence on a judicial hypothesis of interest. The Bayes’ factor, sometimes simply called the ‘likelihood ratio’, represents the best measure of the value of the evidence. It satisfies a number of necessary conditions on normative logical adequacy. It is shown that the same cannot be said for alternative expressions put forward by some legal and forensic quarters. A list of desiderata are given that support the choice of the Bayes’ factor as the best measure for quantification of the value of evidence.
- Subjects :
- Bayesian confirmation theory
Bayes'
factor
Likelihood ratio
Logical properties
Philosophy of science
Probabilistic reasoning
Scientific evidence evaluation
Law
Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty
Philosophy
Bayes’ factor
Bayesian confirmation theory, Bayes’ factor, Likelihood ratio, Logical properties, Philosophy of science, Probabilistic reasoning, Scientific evidence evaluation
Settore SECS-S/01 - Statistica
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- Database :
- OpenAIRE
- Journal :
- Law, Probability and Risk, vol. 20, pp. 15-36
- Accession number :
- edsair.doi.dedup.....33c74418000a4b6cfaff4e005aa195d7