Multimodal Deep Learning for Prognosis Prediction in Renal Cancer

BackgroundClear-cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) is common and associated with substantial mortality. TNM stage and histopathological grading have been the sole determinants of a patient’s prognosis for decades and there are few prognostic biomarkers used in clinical routine. Management of ccRCC involves multiple disciplines such as urology, radiology, oncology, and pathology and each of these specialties generates highly complex medical data. Here, artificial intelligence (AI) could prove extremely powerful to extract meaningful information to benefit patients.ObjectiveIn the study, we developed and evaluated a multimodal deep learning model (MMDLM) for prognosis prediction in ccRCC.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsTwo mixed cohorts of non-metastatic and metastatic ccRCC patients were used: (1) The Cancer Genome Atlas cohort including 230 patients and (2) the Mainz cohort including 18 patients with ccRCC. For each of these patients, we trained the MMDLM on multiscale histopathological images, CT/MRI scans, and genomic data from whole exome sequencing.Outcome Measurements and Statistical AnalysisOutcome measurements included Harrell’s concordance index (C-index) and also various performance parameters for predicting the 5-year survival status (5YSS). Different visualization techniques were used to make our model more transparent.ResultsThe MMDLM showed great performance in predicting the prognosis of ccRCC patients with a mean C-index of 0.7791 and a mean accuracy of 83.43%. Training on a combination of data from different sources yielded significantly better results compared to when only one source was used. Furthermore, the MMDLM’s prediction was an independent prognostic factor outperforming other clinical parameters.InterpretationMultimodal deep learning can contribute to prognosis prediction in ccRCC and potentially help to improve the clinical management of this disease.Patient SummaryAn AI-based computer program can analyze various medical data (microscopic images, CT/MRI scans, and genomic data) simultaneously and thereby predict the survival time of patients with renal cancer.