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Mathematical Modelling of Social Consciousness to Control the Outbreak of COVID-19

Authors :
Md. Shahriar Mahmud
J. Jubyrea
Kamrujjaman
Md. Shahidul Islam
Publication Year :
2020
Publisher :
Preprints, 2020.

Abstract

Background: The world, now in an emergency of preventing the drastic spread of COVID-19. After the infection was first reported in December 2019, almost every country did not pay attention to this highly contaminated disease and failed to react swiftly. Now the whole universe is in an vulnerable state, loosing a great loss of lives and facing difficulties in all socio-economic aspects. That is why we have the urge to develop an efficient mathematical model (quarantine) based on social consciousness to control the epidemic. Methods: This is a quarantine mathematical model. The outcome of the system is dependent on social consciousness. We have calculated the awareness level by considering various socio-economic factor of each country. In our model, the parameters are Education Index, GDP per capita, population density, high literacy and stable economy. To maximize the efficiency of the model, it has to be implemented in initial stage. However, strict application of the method in vigorous stage of epidemic will also bring a satisfactory outcome. Results: Higher social consciousness will decrease the number of infected population dramatically while minimal or lower awareness will do a outburst. Conclusion: Outbreak will be in control of health care system, lower the death rate and will ensure social and economic stability.

Details

Language :
English
Database :
OpenAIRE
Accession number :
edsair.doi.dedup.....2c4b40aea9ccc5359c49cc6e7f3a5a7c